id="u2feba1ac-de1e-5f08-a237-631e2ab813f0">
Sixty Days and Counting
KIM STANLEY ROBINSON
Contents
FOUR The Technological Sublime
EIGHT Partially Adjusted Demand
NINE The Third Good Correlation
‘I believe the twenty-first century can become the most important century of human history. I think a new reality is emerging. Whether this view is realistic or not, there is no harm in making an effort.’
The Dalai Lama, November 15 2005, Washington D.C.
Why do you do what you do?
I guess because we still kind of believe that the world can be saved.
We? The people where you work?
Yes. Not all of them. But most. Scientists are like that. I mean, we’re seeing evidence that we seem to be starting a mass extinction event.
What’s that?
A time when lots of species are killed off by some change in the environment. Like when that meteor struck and killed off the dinosaurs.
So people hit Earth like meteor.
Yes. It’s getting to be that way for a lot of the big mammals especially. We’re in the last moments already for a lot of them.
No more tigers.
That’s right. No more lots of things. So … most of the scientists I know seem to think we ought to limit the extinctions to a minimum. Just to keep the lab working, so to speak.
The Frank Principle.
(Laughs). I guess. Some people at work call it that. Who told you that?
Drepung tell me. Saving world so science can proceed. The Frank Principle.
Right. Well – it’s like Buddhism, right? You might as well try to make a better world.
Yes. So, your National Science Foundation – very Buddhist!
Ha ha. I don’t know if I’d go that far. NSF is mostly pragmatic. They have a job to do and a budget to do it with. A rather small budget.
But a big name! National – Science – Foundation. Foundation means base, right? Base of house?
Yes. It is a big name. But I don’t think they regard themselves as particularly big. Nor particularly Buddhist. Compassion and right action are not their prime motivation.
Compassion! So what! Does it matter why, if we do good things?
I don’t know. Does it?
Maybe not!
Maybe not.
By the time Phil Chase was elected president, the world’s climate was already far along on the way to irrevocable change. There were already four hundred parts per million of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and another hundred parts would be there soon if civilization continued to burn its fossil carbon – and at this point there was no other option. Just as Franklin Delano Roosevelt was elected in the midst of a crisis that in some ways worsened before it got better, they were entangled in a moment of history when climate change, the destruction of the natural world, and widespread human misery were combining in a toxic and combustible mix. The new president had to contemplate drastic action while at the same time being constrained by any number of economic and politic factors, not least the huge public debt left deliberately by the administrations preceding him.
It did not help that the weather that winter careened wildly from one extreme to another, but was in the main almost as cold as the previous record-breaking year. Chase joked about it everywhere he went: ‘It’s ten below zero, aren’t you glad you elected me? Just think what it would have been like if you hadn’t!’ He would end speeches with a line from the poet Percy Bysshe Shelley:
‘O, Wind, if Winter comes, can Spring be far behind?’
‘Maybe it can,’ Kenzo pointed out with a grin. ‘We’re in the Youngest Dryas, after all.’
In any case, it was a fluky winter – above all windy – and the American people were in an uncertain state of mind. Chase addressed this: ‘The only thing we have to fear,’ he would intone, ‘is abrupt climate change!’
He would laugh, and people would laugh with him, understanding him to be saying that there was indeed something real to fear, but that they could do something about it.
His transition team worked with an urgency that resembled desperation. Sea level was rising; temperatures were rising; there was no time to lose. Chase’s good humor and casual style were therefore welcomed, when they were not reviled – much as it had been with FDR in the previous century. He would say, ‘We got ourselves into this mess and we can get out of it. The problems create an opportunity to remake our relationship to nature, and create a new dispensation. So – happy days are here again! Because we’re making history, we are seizing the planet’s history, I say, and turning it to the good.’
Some scoffed; some listened and took heart; some waited to see what would happen.
As far as Frank Vanderwal’s personal feelings were concerned,