Randal O'Toole

American Nightmare


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      AMERICAN

      NIGHTMARE

      Dedicated to the memory of my friend Chris Walker, whose work on land-use and transportation issues should inspire everyone who supports free markets and freedom of choice.

      Copyright © 2012 by the Cato Institute.

       All rights reserved.

      Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

      O’Toole, Randal.

      American nightmare : how government undermines the dream of home ownership / by Randal O’Toole.

      p. cm.

      Includes bibliographical references and indexes.

      ISBN 978-1-937184-88-9 (hardback : alk. paper)

      1. Home ownership—United States. 2. Housing policy—United States. 3. House buying—United States. I. Title.

      HD7287.82.U6O86 2012

       333.33′80973—dc23

      2012012197

      Printed in the United States of America.

      CATO INSTITUTE

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      Cato Institute

      Founded in 1977, the Cato Institute is a public policy research foundation dedicated to broadening the parameters of policy debate to allow consideration of more options that are consistent with the traditional American principles of limited government, individual liberty, and peace. To that end, the Institute strives to achieve greater involvement of the intelligent, concerned lay public in questions of policy and the proper role of government.

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       1000 Massachusetts Ave., N.W.

       Washington, D.C. 20001

       www.cato.org

      Contents

      INTRODUCTION

      1. The Pre–American Dream

      2. The Agrarian Dream

      3. The Urban Dream

      4. The Suburban Dream

       6. The Postwar Dream

       7. Questioning the Dream

       8. Low-Income Dreams

       9. Spoiling the Dream

       10. The Urban–Renewal Dream

       11. The Housing Market

       12. The Housing Bubble

       13. The American Nightmare

       14. The World Dream

       15. The Future of the American Dream

       NOTES

       INDEX

      Figures

       Figure 3.1 Urban and Rural Share of U.S. Population, 1790–2000

       Figure 4.1 U.S. Homeownership Rates, 1890–2010

       Figure 10.1 Housing Demand

       Figure 10.2 Supply of Pedestrian-Friendly Housing

       Figure 10.3 Supply of Pedestrian- and Auto-Friendly Housing

       Figure 10.4 Demand for Pedestrian- and Auto-Friendly Housing

       Figure 10.5 Alternative Demand for Pedestrian- and Auto-Friendly Housing

       Figure 11.1 Elastic Housing Supply

       Figure 11.2 Inelastic Housing Supply

       Figure 12.1 Inflation-Adjusted State Home Price Indexes, 1995–2011

       Figure 12.2 Changes in Home Prices after 1995 and after Peak

       Figure 12.3 Metropolitan Area Housing Bubbles, 1995–2011

       Figure 12.4 Metropolitan Areas with No Housing Bubbles, 1995–2011

       Figure 12.5 California Housing Bubbles before 2000

       Figure 12.6 State Housing Indexes before 2000 2

       Figure 14.1 Inflation-Adjusted British Home Price Index, 1952–2008

       Figure 14.2 European Home Price Indexes, 1998–2009

      Tables

       Table 9.1 Planning Regimes and 2009 Housing Prices

       Table 11.1 Change in Number of Households by Income Class from 1989 to 2009

       Table 12.1 Bubble and Nonbubble States

       Table 14.1 Homeownership Rates by Nation

       Table 14.2 Ratios of Housing