Patrick Cockburn

Terrorism in Europe


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THE SEEDS OF THE THREAT WE FACE

       BEEN THROUGH IT BEFORE

       THE BLITZ

       THE IRA CAMPAIGN

       SINGLE WORST TERROR ATROCITY ON BRITISH SOIL

       7/7 LONDON BOMBINGS A YEAR LATER

       CHAPTER 7

       STRIKING EUROPE

       BRUSSELS, 24 MAY 2014

       THE CRAZIES ‘ARE TRULY IN EUROPE NOW’

       JIHADIST MURDERS IN BELGIUM

       PARIS, 7 JANUARY 2015

       MURDERING A NATION’S JESTERS

       CHARLIE HEBDO TERROR TRACED BACK TO ALGERIA 1954

       BLOWBACK FROM WARS IN THE MIDDLE EAST

       PARIS, 13 NOVEMBER 2015

       KILL AS MANY AS POSSIBLE

       FRANCE’S 11/13

       BELGIUM AT THE HEART OF EUROPEAN TERROR WAVE

       BRUSSELS, 22 MARCH 2016

       ‘WHAT WE FEARED, HAS HAPPENED’

       AUDACIOUS ATTACK ON AIRPORT AND METRO

       TRAGIC IRONY

       SCRAMBLING TO COME UP WITH A EU-WIDE STRATEGY

       MUSLIM TAXI DRIVER’S GOOD DEED

       WHY BRUSSELS?

       THREAT TO EUROPE BECOMES LESS ABSTRACT

       NICE, 14 JULY 2016

       SLAUGHTER OF THE INNOCENTS

       BASTILLE DAY

       IN PLANNING SINCE 2015

       MUNICH, 22 JULY 2016

       MUNICH TERROR ACTS PLANNED FOR OVER A YEAR

       ANSBACH, GERMANY, 24 JULY 2016

       HE KILLS THE PEOPLE WHO ARE TRYING TO HELP HIM

       SURGE OF ISIS-INSPIRED ATTACKS ACROSS EUROPE

       SAINT-ÉTIENNE-DU-ROUVRAY, FRANCE, 26 JULY 2016

       HORROR AT THE ALTER

       CULT OF DEATH

       CHAPTER 8

       ISLAMIC STATE

       ‘GREATEST THREAT TO CIVILIZATION SINCE THE LAST GREATEST THREAT’

       ISIS GLOBAL NETWORK

       ‘ISIS WILL WIN’, EVEN IF DEFEATED MILITARILY

       CHAPTER 9

       FIGHTING TERRORISTS

       A DEADLY VENGENCE

       HOW TO PREVENT TERROR ATTACKS

       POLITICIANS MUST STOP PLAYING INTO THE HANDS OF ISIS

       CHAPTER 10

       LOSING THE WAR ON TERROR?

       ‘ATROCITY FATIGUE’

       NO REAL PLAN

       CREATING A GENERATION OF TERRORISTS

       HOW POLITICIANS DUCK THE BLAME FOR TERRORISM

       TIME BOMB ON EUROPE’S DOORSTEP

       AFTERWORD

       EU LEADERS ARE DELUDING THEMSELVES

       PHOTO CAPTIONS AND COPYRIGHTS

      Saturday, 16 July 2016

      It was near inevitable that Isis should organise or inspire another atrocity in Western Europe after a string of defeats culminating in the loss of Fallujah to Iraqi government forces. Isis has always used acts of mass terrorism directed against civilians as a way of showing its strength and dominating the news agenda. It is part of its repertoire of tactics at all times, but particularly when it is suffering losses and hopes are rising that it is not only retreating but has gone into irreversible decline.

      Isis had already reacted to defeat at Fallujah by sending a vehicle packed with explosives into the Karada district of Baghdad, where it exploded, killing 292 people. This happened just as the Iraqi government was congratulating itself on taking the city which people in the Iraqi capital believed was the source of many of the bombs that have slaughtered them over the last three years.

      Isis now claims that Mohammed Lahouaiej Bouhlel, who drove his truck through crowds of people in Nice, was one of their “soldiers”. It is possible that they did not know what was going to happen until it was over, but the attack has all the hallmarks of an Isis mass killing: it was directed against civilians in a very public place and its savagery was so extreme that it inevitably instils fear and dominates the world news agenda for days on end. All that was needed to carry it out was a fanatical perpetrator willing to be killed as a proof of his faith.

      This was the tactic of al-Qa’ida, shown most famously on 9/11, but Isis has used it on a greater scale and, even when it is on the retreat in Iraq and Syria, it can mobilise bombers swiftly and effectively.

      The Isis attack on Ataturk Istanbul International Airport was carried out by gunmen and bombers from Central Asia, whom Turkish security had not identified as a threat because it supposed they were committed to overthrowing President Bashar al-Assad and his regime in Syria. What gives Isis’ terrorism its relentless quality is that it is backed by a well-organised, if battered, state machine in the form of the so-called caliphate, that can mobilise men, equipment, expertise and money.

      Isis is under pressure on almost every front in Iraq and Syria. It cannot withstand ground attacks backed by precision bombing from the US-led air armada and the same is true of the Syrian army supported by Russian bombers. This may weaken Isis, but does not put it permanently out of business because it can revert to guerrilla warfare and wait for its numerous enemies to fall out, as they invariably do. The Iraqi and Syrian governments are short of good combat troops and have difficulty occupying the territory they have taken.

      It is often said that there can be no peace in Iraq without conciliating the Sunni Arabs, the community from which Isis draws its strength, but this is to underestimate the sectarian and ethnic cleansing now being carried out by all sides in the civil war engulfing Iraq and Syria. An increasing number of the Sunni Arab community in both countries – one-fifth of the population in Iraq and three-fifths in Syria – are being permanently displaced and are unlikely to go home.

      The sectarian map of this part of the Middle East is being permanently redrawn, which can only intensify the fighting. Isis is a long way from total defeat, but it is giving up population centres and has not made a successful counter-attack for over a year. It will seek to spread its networks of militants to other countries and make sure that its retreats are masked by further atrocities like the ones in Baghdad and Nice.

      Patrick Cockburn

      Black Flag of Jihad

      Saturday, 15 March 2008

      The al-Qa'ida spokesman who, following the 2004 Madrid train bombings, told the