Salvador Macip

Modern Epidemics


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book is divided into two parts, which are independent and can be read in the order the reader prefers. In the first, more general part, I will give an account of what microorganisms are and describe some of the historic pandemics that have seriously threatened our survival. The second part focuses on the main infectious diseases we haven’t yet managed to control; namely, what we can rightly call the four great modern plagues: influenza, AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. They are important because of the number of people they affect around the world, their serious economic and social impact, their aggressiveness and, in some cases, the scant means we still have for fighting them. Some have already spread all over the planet. Others are circumscribed to certain areas, but that doesn’t mean they don’t cause large numbers of casualties. I will assess how far we are from defeating them and the risks of seeing them turning into tragedies beyond our control. I will also discuss, in particular, the gravity of the present pandemic and how it’s expected to evolve.

      In this book, I want to raise several questions that I believe are necessary. Does our future depend on microorganisms? Why do antibiotics stop being effective? How much longer will they serve us? Will an AIDS vaccine ever be found? Or a cure? Why are we so afraid of influenza coming from animals, like bird or swine flu? Could a flu epidemic today wipe out half the world’s population? Do we have the means to stop dangerous infections before they spread? Should we fear an attack with biological weapons? Are we immune to infectious diseases that have been eradicated? What can we do to avoid being infected? Can vaccines cause autism? We will now move on to delve into the fascinating world of viruses and bacteria in order to find the answers.

      I don’t think anyone would doubt today that infectious diseases are a global problem. They start in one corner of the planet, but our lifestyle helps them to spread like wildfire. Pandemics are still frequent, and we must learn from every episode so we can do better next time. These are problems we can’t ignore. I hope this book will help readers to see what it means to share the planet with all these invisible enemies and that, at the end of the day, we will be able to find together that much-needed point between alarm and caution which will allow us to survive as a species for many more millennia.

Part I Sharing the World with Microorganisms

      We humans have managed to escape from our predators. In the security of urban settings, we don’t have to worry about being devoured by lions, tigers or other carnivores that are stronger and faster than we are. As a result, we’ve successfully occupied all the ecosystems and multiply like no other animal has ever done before. We therefore tend to think we are invulnerable, at least when it comes to competing with other inhabitants of the Earth for our everyday survival.

      Microbes are the oldest inhabitants of this planet. They’ve been around for between 3,000 and 4,000 million years, but humans didn’t discover them until a little more than a century ago when science was sufficiently advanced to let us see them close up with the aid of a microscope. During the first 2,000 million years, microbes, and specifically bacteria, had the Earth to themselves. They were the first to appear and will doubtless be the last to leave because they are not only the most diverse form of life but are also the one that most easily adapts to any conditions. If a catastrophe wiped out most life on Earth, they would probably be the only survivors.

      There are more than a million kinds of microorganisms, most of them inoffensive. The main ones are bacteria and viruses, but to these must be added certain fungi, algae and amoebas. In both number and weight, microorganisms are predominant among living beings. If we could put all the microbes on one side of the scale and all the animals on the other, the microbes would weigh twenty-five times more. The fastest growing microbes duplicate every thirteen minutes, and the slowest every fourteen days. At this rate, if a single bacterium had all the possible nutrients and the right conditions, it could generate a colony that would weigh as much as the whole Earth in three days.

      We shouldn’t forget that it’s thanks to microbes that this planet is habitable. Some 2,700 million years ago, there appeared a certain kind of bacterium that was able to use sunlight to transform water and CO2 into energy. A secondary effect of this process, which is called photosynthesis, is generation of oxygen. Like toxic exhaust fumes given off by a car engine, the oxygen kept accumulating in huge quantities and ‘contaminating’ the Earth’s atmosphere. This inadvertent pollution ended up being providential for us as it permitted the appearance of a new class of beings – humans among them – that needed oxygen for their basic functions. To this very day, bacteria are important for keeping the planet in balance. Without them, life on Earth would be wiped out.

      Bacteria could also survive in outer space. Some very tiny species have been found (among them Herminiimonas glaciei, which was discovered in 2009). They can endure for more than 120,000 years under layers of ice three kilometres thick, practically without oxygen and nutrients. These conditions are very similar to those that might be found outside our planet.

      We should be grateful for other things, too. Bacteria are also our ancestors. As I said, life on Earth was at first limited to minuscule single cell organisms. They gradually began to come together in groups of cells that, acting in concert, went on to specialize in different functions, now in the form of what are known as multicellular organisms. This is the path that led to the fabulous biological diversity we have today. As proof of our humble origins, there are still structures in human cells that come directly from those original bacteria. And they are essential for human life.

      We shouldn’t necessarily see microorganisms as a threat. On the contrary, coexistence with many of them is highly beneficial for humans and determines proper functioning of the organism. The human body, one of the most complex multicellular organisms in existence, consists of approximately 100 billion cells. But this needs to be clarified: I mean 100 billion human cells. If we are to be exact, we also need to count all the microorganisms that inhabit us. Initially, it was calculated that they might be ten times more numerous than our own cells, but more recent data suggest that a closer estimate would be one microbe for each human cell. In any case, we can venture that the human body is colonized by millions of microorganisms, of some 400 different species, which normally don’t cause any illness. Put together they would weigh a kilogram. These data are mind-boggling, enough to make us wonder what a human being really is. A mixture of highly specialized cells and microbes that live in harmony? From this standpoint, we are perhaps nothing more than a walking ecosystem in which a series of microorganisms peaceably survive.

      The microbes that are always with us are not only freeloaders but ‘stowaways’ that are very important for our metabolism. Humans, like all other animals, depend on them to survive. From them, we obtain vitamins, nutrients and protection against infections caused by their more toxic kin. Cows, for example, couldn’t ingest grass without the help of the bacteria they have in their digestive tract, and neither could termites benefit from the cellulose in wood. There are plants we use as food, peas and beans for example, that need bacteria in order to fix the essential nitrogen from the sun.

      Further proof of their importance is that it is thought that, when