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Using Predictive Analytics to Improve Healthcare Outcomes


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we need to rethink what we are measuring and how we are measuring it.

       Since “task performance” is an inadequate measure of professional practice, we need to rethink what we are measuring and how we are measuring it.

      Data collection itself is challenging. How do you decide what to collect or where to collect it, and how can you be sure it is collected the same way for every audit or that every auditor is auditing the same way? Then, once it is collected, what is the best way to present the data to help communicate with others what new realities you have come to understand?

       Using data without screening for error first is like putting a ship to sail before checking if the ship has holes in it.

      If the data is not checked for accuracy, anxiety and frustration build for staff members and leaders alike as the organization’s inconsistent data is then reported to Leapfrog, Hospital Compare, and the Magnet® Recognition program. The experience of anxiety for staff members and leaders is tied to the reporting of this data to regulatory and accreditation organizations, because these organizations report the hospital‐level data to the public who then make choices about what hospital they will go to. The frustration is tied to the ongoing struggle with trying to understand the fluctuation in scores. This fluctuation in scores, which is also frustrating to manage, suggests that other variables affecting the outcomes have not been measured or were not measured correctly. Given this pattern of collecting, distributing, and acting on flawed data, with no sustainable improvement toward the goals of high reliability, patient safety, and full reimbursement opportunities, the question is: How can we get our hands on data that includes everyone on all units and points us toward the precise actions we can take to improve operations?

      In our initial and subsequent Magnet® journeys, RBC had been chosen as the care delivery model by the organization because it aligned so thoroughly with our mission and vision. Through our work implementing RBC, we quickly discovered that staff members who have clarity about who they are, what their role is, and how the healthcare system works, were demonstrating better and more sustainable outcomes (Hozak & Brennan, 2012; Nelson & Felgen, 2015; Nelson, Nichols, & Wahl, 2017). Showing evidence of this rapid improvement, however, required a different approach, since “clarity of self, role, and system” were very unusual things to measure. It required administrators to trust that even though measuring caring and clarity did not directly measure costs or outcomes, a model that improves caring and clarity does make a financial impact in the long run, and it was therefore worth the time and investment to study these variables.

       A model that improves caring and clarity does make a financial impact in the long run.

      Through our use of predictive analytics, we measured what was long thought unmeasurable, as we demonstrated that the concepts taught in RBC did matter.

      Our study used predictive analytics to answer the questions and question the assumptions of staff members and leaders. The data provided at every step in the process became the vehicle for us to go deeper into conversations about the everyday operations of the units. We now had predictive analytics to help us discover some things that would allow us to refine operations with an extremely high likelihood that our efforts would be successful. The aspects of care we investigated further, using the data, addressed:

       The data provided at every step in the process became the vehicle for us to go deeper into conversations about the everyday operations of the units.

      1 The quality of relationships on the unit,

      2 How staff members assessed their own care delivery and that of others,

      3 Whether there was consistency in our care delivery,

      4 Whether the mission and values of the organization were visible and tangible in our care delivery, and

      5 How well the hospital’s operational systems worked for delivering care to patients and families.

      While these were nontraditional things to measure, we had confidence that by understanding them better, we could understand more clearly what predicted other outcomes. These variables were all front‐of‐mind because of our work with Relationship‐Based Care. And because these variables came directly from the people closest to the work, the results of this study described the actual behaviors of staff members and leaders, providing highly relevant, actionable information and insights regarding the care environment.

      One example of a variable that is always of interest is fall rates. Traditionally, in our organization, when the falls data for a unit was trended over quarters, action plans for the unit have usually included reeducating the staff on two of our current fall reduction strategies—use of the “falling star” program and yellow