Tim MacWelch

The Essential Pandemic Survival Guide


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species, it can go from being be mild in the original species to deadly in others. Often these start as a novel CoronaVirus (nCoV), the term for a medically significant new coronavirus . In humans the viruses cause respiratory tract infections which can range from mild to lethal. It is estimated about 15% of common colds in humans arecaused by coronaviruses. In recent decades, several zoonotic coronaviruses (those that began with an animal strain and crossed over to us) have caused

      series outbreaks.

      SARS The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) led to the 2002–2004 SARS outbreak. Over 8,000 people from 29 different countries and territories were infected, and at least 774 died worldwide with a fatality rate of 9.2%. SARS is known to have crossed over from to humans either directly from horseshoe bats or by way of wild civet

      meat sold at a local market in Guangdong, China.

      MERS The first outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (MERS-CoV), was the 2012 MERS outbreak in the Middle East, followed by the 2015 MERS outbreak in South Korea and the 2018 MERS outbreak centered in Saudi Arabia. MERS has been genetically linked to Camels and Egyptian tomb bats as the zoonotic source of human infection. Globally MERS patients were reported in over 25 countries, with almost 2500 cases worldwide and over

      850 deaths reported, giving it a fatality rate of 36%.

      COVID-19 The Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the cause of the global COVID-19 pandemic, is a strain of the original SARS virus. The first known patient was infected in Wuhan, the capital of China’s Hubei province, in November 2019. The virus subsequently spread to all provinces of China and to more than 150 other countries worldwide. Most people with COVID-19 recovered. For those who do not, the time from development of symptoms to death has been between 6 and 41 days, with an average 14 days. From a global perspective, the infection fatality rate is estimated to be up to 0.4%. However, of those who are admitted the hospital, the fatality rate is much higher, with a death to case ratio of approximately

      6.2% at the time of writing.

      FOCUS ON CORONAVIRUS

      evolving as the virus does, there are some basic practices that

      are almost always appropriate.

      £WASH YOUR HANDS If you’re feel like you’re washing your hands too often and for too long, you’re probably

       doing it just enough.

      £USE HAND SANITIZER If you can’t wash your hands with

       soap and water, then this is the next best thing.

      £WEAR A MASK A cloth or dust mask works fine to protect

       others from droplet transmission.

      £COVER YOUR MOUTH Cough or sneeze into the crook of

       your arm if you don’t have a tissue.

      £DON’T TOUCH YOUR FACE Wearing a face mask helps keep your hands off your nose and mouth, but remember to not touch your eyes either, as an infection get into

       your system that way as well.

      £WEAR SAFETY GLASSES To protect your eyes from

       airborne pathogens and keep you from touching your eyes.

      £KEEP AWAY Consider 6 feet (2 m) as a minimum standard to avoid aerosol transmission from people nearby, even if

       they have no symptoms.

      £

      STAY HOME Feeling sick? Stay home to avoid infecting

       others and seek medical attention if you feel worse.

      £PROTECT OTHERS If someone in your household is sick,

       assume you also are contagious.

      £SHELTER IN PLACE Remaining at home is the safest way

       to avoid exposure.

      £WIPE IT DOWN

       Disinfect doorknobs,

       alarm keypads, or frequently touched surfaces, especially anything else you

       touch when first entering your home.

      £RINSE OFF

       If you must go anywhere,

       change clothes and shower as soon as

       you get home.

      £PRACTICE SELF CARE

       Eating well,

       sleeping well, and exercising regularly

       can bolster your immune system.

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      With the news cycle being faster than ever, it’s important to recognize that sometimes the media doesn’t use scientific or medical terms correctly and that can cause confusion. To be well informed,you’ll do well to know the

      basic terminology of pandemics.

      CLUSTER A collection of cases occurring in the same place at the same time. If clusters are of sufficient size and severity,

      they may be upgraded to an outbreak.

      COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION The term for cases of infection in persons who haven’t traveled recently and have no connection to a known case. Also called “community

      spread.”

      CONTACT TRACING The practice of identifying and locating people who have been exposed to a known contagious person. They are then either asked to self-quarantine or

      brought in for observation in order to prevent transmission.

      CONTAGIOUS Transmissible by direct or indirect contact with an infected person or thing. For example, the coronavirus is both contagious and infectious. Anything that is contagious

      is also infectious, but the reverse is not necessarily true.

      DROPLET TRANSMISSION How a contagious disease is spread when it involves relatively large, short-range respiratory droplets produced by sneezing, coughing, or talking. Also

      called “aerosol transmission.”

      EPIDEMIC The rapid spread of disease to a large number of

      people across a very large area within a short period of time.

      FLATTEN THE CURVE This refers to the goal of slowing a virus’s spread to reduce the peak number of cases. This does not necessarily decrease the total number of cases; it just spreads them out over a longer period so that hospitals can cope with the number of patients at any given time rather

      than being overwhelmed.

      HERD IMMUNITY A form of community protection from a disease that occurs when a large percentage has become immune, whether through previous infections or vaccination, thereby providing some measure of protection

      for individuals who are not yet immune.

      INFECTIOUS Producing, capable of producing, or containing pathogens which can be transmitted. For example, food

      poisoning is infectious, but it is not contagious.

      UNDERSTAND THETERMINOLOGY

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      06

      basics

      What is a “super spreader”? This is a person who infects a disproportionately high number of people, compared tonumber of people infected by the average sick person. In some of the cases of super-spreading, these infected people conform to the 20/80 rule.